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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-1.02+4.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+3.84vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.61-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.45+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.64+1.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.18+0.25vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19-2.77vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-2.53vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.18-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.4%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.020.0%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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3.74California State University Monterey Bay0.610.1%1st Place
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5.66University of California at San Diego-0.450.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.25University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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2.9University of Southern California1.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Weitz | 44.5% | 28.2% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Daniele | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 14.4% |
| Thomas Garcia | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 11.9% | 16.2% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 37.6% |
| David Luu | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 17.3% |
| Belle Lemoine | 4.8% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 9.5% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 22.4% | 24.1% | 22.8% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.