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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+1.03vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-1.02+4.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+2.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.45+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.64+1.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.18+0.26vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19-2.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-2.52vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.18-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.4%1st Place
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3.75California State University Monterey Bay0.610.1%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.020.0%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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5.67University of California at San Diego-0.450.1%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.26University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.1%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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2.88University of Southern California1.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Weitz | 44.8% | 28.0% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 13.3% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Daniele | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 15.7% |
| Thomas Garcia | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 12.2% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 37.0% |
| David Luu | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 18.5% |
| Belle Lemoine | 5.1% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 9.2% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 21.5% | 26.6% | 21.5% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.