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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.14+0.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.07+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.10+0.19vs Predicted
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4-0.62+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+0.99vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.55+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.88+1.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.54-2.15vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.42-1.53vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.38University of California at Santa Barbara3.140.7%1st Place
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3.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Southern California1.100.1%1st Place
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6.0-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.85University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.92California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dana | 71.4% | 21.1% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 10.1% | 25.9% | 26.0% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Quirke | 9.4% | 25.5% | 28.4% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 4.2% |
| Cullen Quine | 2.5% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Michelle Moua | 0.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 22.2% | 24.4% |
| Marina Lindsay | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 22.5% | 37.8% |
| Jason Barr | 1.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| Benjamin Blumenberg | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 21.9% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.