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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.14+0.37vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.07+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.10+0.20vs Predicted
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4-0.62+2.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.55+2.64vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.88+1.30vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.42-0.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.54-3.12vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37University of California at Santa Barbara3.140.7%1st Place
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3.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.1%1st Place
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3.2University of Southern California1.100.1%1st Place
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6.03-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Los Angeles-1.880.0%1st Place
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7.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.88University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.93California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dana | 72.1% | 20.3% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 9.9% | 25.5% | 28.1% | 19.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Quirke | 9.4% | 26.1% | 27.9% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Michelle Moua | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 23.0% | 23.9% |
| Cullen Quine | 2.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 4.3% |
| Marina Lindsay | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 39.5% |
| Benjamin Blumenberg | 0.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 20.5% |
| Jason Barr | 1.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.