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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+5.41vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.27+3.10vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.30+4.07vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.02+8.29vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.22+3.41vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.16-1.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.28-2.88vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.54-0.91vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.44-1.76vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.14-2.43vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.73-2.18vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.27-1.84vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.72-2.15vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-2.34vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.78-1.14vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-0.85-1.75vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.55-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.2%1st Place
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5.1Georgetown University2.2713.6%1st Place
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7.07Webb Institute1.307.3%1st Place
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12.29SUNY Maritime College-0.021.7%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University1.225.1%1st Place
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6.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.2%1st Place
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5.54University of Pennsylvania2.1613.4%1st Place
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5.12U. S. Naval Academy2.2814.1%1st Place
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8.09Fordham University1.546.5%1st Place
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8.24George Washington University1.445.7%1st Place
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8.57Cornell University1.145.1%1st Place
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9.82Christopher Newport University0.733.5%1st Place
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11.16Princeton University0.272.1%1st Place
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11.85Hampton University0.721.6%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.8%1st Place
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14.86University of Virginia-0.780.7%1st Place
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15.25Drexel University-0.850.5%1st Place
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14.35Washington College-0.550.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
| Pierce Brindley | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ava Gustafson | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Robert Finora | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.2% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 27.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 20.5% | 33.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.