Race 3A

north-north

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Patrick Taylor 13.9% 13.8% 15.2% 13.0% 12.6% 13.3% 8.7% 6.3% 2.5% 0.7%
Glen Stellmacher 27.2% 20.7% 17.4% 14.4% 10.7% 5.5% 2.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Alex Waldron 4.1% 4.3% 6.1% 6.2% 8.0% 10.0% 14.6% 19.4% 17.9% 9.4%
Philip Bowman 2.9% 5.0% 4.0% 6.5% 9.2% 10.7% 14.2% 18.3% 17.2% 12.0%
Ashley Vincent 8.3% 9.1% 9.7% 10.9% 12.6% 13.8% 14.9% 11.5% 6.3% 2.9%
Peter McGrath 15.2% 13.8% 14.5% 14.3% 13.3% 11.6% 9.8% 4.5% 2.5% 0.5%
Philip Gordon 16.9% 19.9% 16.7% 16.0% 13.5% 8.5% 4.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Alyce Flanagan 7.3% 10.1% 10.6% 12.3% 11.0% 16.3% 12.3% 10.9% 7.3% 1.9%
David Eva 2.6% 1.9% 2.9% 4.1% 5.1% 5.4% 11.5% 13.1% 24.4% 29.0%
Michael Trombatore 1.6% 1.4% 2.9% 2.3% 4.0% 4.9% 7.0% 11.6% 20.8% 43.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.