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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.14+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.10+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.88+4.27vs Predicted
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5-0.62+0.99vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.55+0.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.54-2.14vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.42-1.51vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44University of California at Santa Barbara3.140.7%1st Place
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2.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Southern California1.100.1%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Los Angeles-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.99-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.87California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.82University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
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5.86University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dana | 68.3% | 22.5% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 13.6% | 32.5% | 25.8% | 18.0% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Quirke | 8.8% | 21.8% | 29.4% | 21.5% | 11.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Lindsay | 0.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 21.2% | 37.5% |
| Grant Lin | 2.4% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Levi Matsushima | 2.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Michelle Moua | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 25.0% |
| Jason Barr | 1.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 3.3% |
| Benjamin Blumenberg | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 21.8% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.