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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.14+0.43vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.10+0.29vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+1.99vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.88+3.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.54-0.16vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.42+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-1.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.55-1.24vs Predicted
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10-0.62-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43University of California at Santa Barbara3.140.7%1st Place
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2.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Southern California1.100.1%1st Place
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5.99California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.16University of California at Los Angeles-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.84University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
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6.08-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dana | 68.5% | 22.7% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 13.5% | 32.6% | 27.1% | 16.4% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Quirke | 8.6% | 22.4% | 29.4% | 20.4% | 12.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Marina Lindsay | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 20.4% | 37.8% |
| Jason Barr | 2.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Benjamin Blumenberg | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 20.8% | 20.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Michelle Moua | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 26.5% |
| Grant Lin | 1.2% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.