Race 1A

fall-pacific-coast-div

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Simone Staff 9.0% 7.9% 9.1% 9.4% 11.2% 10.8% 13.7% 9.3% 8.7% 6.2% 3.5% 1.2%
Kristopher Swanson 18.7% 16.9% 15.7% 14.9% 11.3% 8.3% 7.0% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Matthew Hecht 16.4% 14.9% 14.9% 12.4% 12.4% 10.8% 8.4% 4.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Charles Eaton IV 16.5% 14.8% 14.8% 12.6% 12.0% 9.8% 7.8% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
Maria El-Khazindar 12.7% 12.4% 12.8% 11.8% 12.0% 10.0% 8.3% 9.2% 4.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.7%
Brian MacLean 2.2% 3.4% 2.7% 4.9% 4.1% 5.5% 5.9% 7.4% 11.6% 14.9% 19.8% 17.6%
Silas Barton 9.8% 10.4% 8.4% 11.4% 8.9% 10.6% 11.6% 11.1% 7.3% 6.4% 2.9% 1.2%
Melissa Shadden 2.3% 3.6% 2.6% 3.9% 4.3% 5.4% 7.3% 8.3% 10.8% 14.5% 17.8% 19.2%
Ben Brough 3.6% 3.9% 5.6% 6.3% 9.0% 8.7% 9.8% 12.6% 14.2% 12.2% 8.9% 5.2%
Nicholas Lenz Lenz 1.4% 2.1% 3.2% 2.6% 2.6% 3.0% 3.9% 7.5% 9.2% 9.3% 20.3% 34.9%
Henrik Bey 5.0% 5.2% 8.1% 7.3% 7.6% 10.7% 9.7% 11.9% 11.9% 11.7% 7.1% 3.8%
Alexander Smith 2.4% 4.5% 2.1% 2.5% 4.6% 6.4% 6.6% 9.4% 12.6% 16.8% 16.4% 15.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.