← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.89+3.25vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.89+4.73vs Predicted
-
3Santa Barbara City College2.29+2.71vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.68vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.20vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.63-1.19vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+0.32vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine1.06+0.62vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California2.93-5.09vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University1.14-1.57vs Predicted
-
11Santa Clara University1.01-2.04vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.25University of Hawaii2.890.2%1st Place
-
6.73University of California at Berkeley1.890.0%1st Place
-
5.71Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
-
5.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
-
3.8University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
-
4.81Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
-
7.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
8.62University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
3.91University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
-
8.43Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
-
8.96Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
-
9.77University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Eaton IV | 15.7% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henrik Bey | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Silas Barton | 9.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Simone Staff | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 19.0% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ben Brough | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 16.7% |
| Matthew Hecht | 17.1% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 14.8% |
| Melissa Shadden | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 20.1% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.