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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.42+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.57+3.85vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.46vs Predicted
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7Santa Barbara City College1.61-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.77vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.63vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-0.85+2.99vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.31-0.55vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.93-3.07vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine0.08-2.86vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.85-2.01vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.11-2.59vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University0.21-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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4.47University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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4.27Stanford University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.57University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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5.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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6.75Santa Barbara City College1.610.1%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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12.99California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.45University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Victoria0.930.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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12.99California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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13.41Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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10.65Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Henken | 20.1% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 12.8% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 17.0% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Long | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 25.5% | 33.4% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Ted Alley | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 25.5% | 33.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 21.8% | 45.9% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.