Race 4A

north-north

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Philip Gordon 21.6% 17.6% 16.6% 12.8% 12.1% 9.0% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Ashley Vincent 8.6% 5.9% 10.6% 10.6% 13.1% 13.6% 15.6% 11.8% 7.1% 3.1%
Glen Stellmacher 25.0% 22.8% 18.2% 14.1% 10.1% 5.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Patrick Taylor 12.4% 14.4% 13.4% 16.2% 12.7% 13.8% 8.7% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5%
Alyce Flanagan 8.6% 9.7% 9.1% 11.5% 13.6% 13.1% 14.7% 11.2% 6.0% 2.5%
Alex Waldron 4.8% 6.0% 4.7% 6.5% 7.4% 11.5% 14.1% 16.8% 18.3% 9.9%
Peter McGrath 11.9% 15.6% 15.6% 15.8% 13.5% 11.8% 7.9% 5.4% 1.9% 0.6%
Philip Bowman 3.5% 4.4% 6.0% 6.1% 8.8% 10.8% 13.6% 17.3% 17.8% 11.7%
David Eva 2.2% 2.0% 3.5% 3.3% 4.8% 6.2% 9.7% 16.1% 24.4% 27.8%
Michael Trombatore 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 3.1% 3.9% 5.1% 6.2% 11.7% 21.0% 43.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.