Race 5A

north-north

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter McGrath 15.8% 14.0% 14.7% 13.5% 12.1% 12.0% 9.6% 4.6% 2.7% 1.0%
Philip Gordon 18.7% 17.9% 18.3% 13.0% 12.7% 9.9% 6.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Patrick Taylor 13.2% 12.5% 13.3% 13.8% 15.4% 12.4% 8.9% 7.2% 3.1% 0.2%
Glen Stellmacher 26.4% 22.4% 17.6% 15.1% 8.9% 5.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Michael Trombatore 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 2.5% 4.1% 5.3% 7.7% 9.6% 20.2% 43.6%
David Eva 3.4% 2.5% 2.7% 4.1% 4.4% 6.8% 9.8% 13.8% 24.7% 27.8%
Alex Waldron 3.0% 4.3% 6.4% 7.1% 7.7% 12.1% 14.1% 18.8% 16.3% 10.2%
Alyce Flanagan 7.7% 10.8% 9.2% 12.3% 13.4% 13.1% 13.6% 10.8% 6.9% 2.2%
Philip Bowman 3.7% 3.7% 5.9% 6.4% 8.9% 9.6% 13.0% 18.7% 17.9% 12.2%
Ashley Vincent 6.4% 9.5% 9.0% 12.2% 12.4% 13.6% 13.9% 13.0% 7.4% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.