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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.57+3.72vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.27+3.14vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+3.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+8.62vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.14vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.54+2.00vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.21+1.61vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.13+5.38vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.73+0.89vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.26-2.33vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.16-5.20vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.44-3.61vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.72-1.15vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.85+1.10vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.55-0.73vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.78-1.24vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.27-5.64vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.30-11.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.0%1st Place
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5.14Georgetown University2.2712.7%1st Place
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6.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.6%1st Place
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12.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.4%1st Place
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0510.3%1st Place
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8.0Fordham University1.545.9%1st Place
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8.61Cornell University1.214.8%1st Place
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13.38SUNY Maritime College-0.131.4%1st Place
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9.89Christopher Newport University0.732.9%1st Place
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7.67Old Dominion University1.266.2%1st Place
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5.8University of Pennsylvania2.1610.9%1st Place
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8.39George Washington University1.445.1%1st Place
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11.85Hampton University0.722.2%1st Place
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15.1Drexel University-0.850.6%1st Place
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14.27Washington College-0.550.8%1st Place
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14.76University of Virginia-0.781.1%1st Place
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11.36Princeton University0.272.5%1st Place
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6.98Webb Institute1.308.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 14.0% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 6.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Luke Barker | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 10.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 30.6% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 19.1% |
| Mason Chapman | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 25.6% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.