Race 6A

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mason Wolters 13.7% 11.5% 13.6% 12.2% 10.8% 11.5% 7.9% 8.4% 4.2% 3.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Soren Walljasper 17.3% 15.0% 15.8% 13.6% 11.0% 9.1% 5.2% 7.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Tom Groskopf 11.3% 12.3% 12.5% 11.4% 10.0% 12.5% 10.0% 8.6% 4.7% 3.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Carolyn Keck 9.1% 10.5% 9.3% 12.4% 10.9% 10.2% 10.7% 7.7% 7.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.6%
Alison Kent 18.2% 16.8% 14.4% 12.2% 12.1% 8.3% 7.0% 3.8% 4.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Eric Villadsen 5.4% 5.4% 5.9% 5.6% 7.7% 7.3% 9.6% 11.6% 10.0% 11.6% 10.2% 7.0% 2.7%
Ryan Mabie 3.9% 2.9% 3.2% 5.4% 4.9% 4.8% 6.6% 6.6% 11.0% 13.4% 14.6% 16.1% 6.6%
Ryan Clulo 7.0% 7.4% 6.2% 7.9% 7.8% 9.3% 10.8% 12.6% 11.4% 8.8% 5.9% 3.7% 1.2%
Jeff Zita 4.7% 5.3% 5.2% 6.1% 5.9% 7.8% 8.9% 10.6% 12.3% 11.1% 10.9% 8.3% 2.9%
Nickolas Burr 0.7% 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 3.9% 6.4% 12.5% 15.2% 47.3%
Geoffrey Owens 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 3.3% 3.4% 4.1% 5.1% 8.6% 9.7% 16.1% 21.9% 21.3%
Jacob Henley 1.3% 2.9% 2.6% 1.9% 4.3% 4.5% 4.7% 5.9% 6.4% 12.6% 15.2% 21.8% 15.9%
Noah Rosenthal 6.1% 7.4% 8.1% 7.4% 9.4% 9.3% 11.8% 9.1% 12.5% 9.1% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.