Race 7A

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alison Kent 17.1% 16.9% 14.1% 13.0% 11.2% 10.2% 6.9% 4.5% 3.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Tom Groskopf 12.9% 11.6% 12.3% 12.7% 12.2% 9.4% 8.0% 8.4% 6.0% 2.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Mason Wolters 12.7% 13.5% 13.1% 10.1% 12.0% 10.4% 10.3% 7.1% 5.4% 2.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Geoffrey Owens 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.6% 5.3% 7.6% 9.1% 13.7% 25.8% 22.4%
Eric Villadsen 5.1% 5.3% 7.1% 6.4% 6.7% 8.6% 8.2% 10.3% 10.0% 12.8% 10.8% 6.7% 2.0%
Carolyn Keck 11.1% 9.2% 9.8% 11.4% 11.2% 10.8% 9.3% 8.4% 7.6% 5.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Soren Walljasper 16.9% 17.0% 15.4% 11.3% 10.6% 9.5% 7.2% 5.5% 3.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Jeff Zita 4.5% 5.4% 4.9% 7.0% 6.9% 8.3% 9.2% 11.0% 10.3% 12.4% 9.8% 7.2% 3.1%
Noah Rosenthal 7.4% 6.7% 7.5% 9.7% 8.3% 9.9% 9.9% 10.8% 10.3% 9.2% 6.3% 3.5% 0.5%
Jacob Henley 2.0% 1.9% 3.8% 2.7% 3.2% 3.7% 5.6% 5.8% 8.2% 10.9% 18.1% 19.3% 14.8%
Ryan Mabie 2.8% 3.0% 3.2% 4.6% 5.6% 4.7% 9.0% 8.3% 11.5% 14.5% 12.3% 13.1% 7.4%
Nickolas Burr 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 2.3% 3.6% 5.1% 6.3% 9.7% 17.9% 48.3%
Ryan Clulo 5.3% 7.2% 6.5% 7.9% 7.5% 9.8% 10.5% 11.0% 11.2% 9.9% 8.1% 3.9% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.