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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon2.51+2.54vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.15+2.32vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.02+3.66vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.93+2.84vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound0.03+3.23vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University2.21-1.88vs Predicted
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7University of Washington2.87-4.08vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.69-2.82vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.62-3.64vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound0.36-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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4.32Western Washington University2.150.1%1st Place
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6.66Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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6.84Western Washington University0.930.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
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4.12Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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2.92University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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5.18University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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5.36Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.84University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Gordon | 20.1% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Taylor | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Waldron | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 10.6% |
| Philip Bowman | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 12.3% |
| Michael Trombatore | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 20.6% | 42.5% |
| Peter McGrath | 15.5% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 25.5% | 23.9% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Ashley Vincent | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
| David Eva | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 23.5% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.