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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.57+3.54vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.44+6.29vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.16+2.74vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.30vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.27+0.23vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+0.37vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.54+0.98vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.73+1.80vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.26-1.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+2.56vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.78+4.04vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.30-4.93vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.55+1.35vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.21-5.55vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.13-1.80vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.72-4.02vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.27-5.72vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-0.85-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54U. S. Naval Academy2.5715.9%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University1.445.5%1st Place
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5.74University of Pennsylvania2.1610.5%1st Place
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6.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.2%1st Place
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5.23Georgetown University2.2713.9%1st Place
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6.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.8%1st Place
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7.98Fordham University1.545.8%1st Place
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9.8Christopher Newport University0.733.4%1st Place
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7.88Old Dominion University1.265.8%1st Place
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12.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.6%1st Place
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15.04University of Virginia-0.780.4%1st Place
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7.07Webb Institute1.306.0%1st Place
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14.35Washington College-0.550.6%1st Place
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8.45Cornell University1.215.6%1st Place
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13.2SUNY Maritime College-0.131.5%1st Place
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11.98Hampton University0.721.8%1st Place
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11.28Princeton University0.272.4%1st Place
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14.94Drexel University-0.850.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 15.9% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Finora | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 27.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 19.8% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 9.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.