Race 11A

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alison Kent 17.1% 14.9% 15.6% 13.9% 12.4% 9.9% 5.6% 5.8% 2.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Mason Wolters 11.6% 14.4% 13.3% 12.5% 12.1% 9.1% 11.0% 8.3% 4.6% 2.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Noah Rosenthal 8.3% 6.8% 8.2% 8.4% 8.6% 9.6% 13.3% 12.4% 10.4% 9.9% 3.9% 0.2%
Eric Villadsen 3.8% 4.8% 5.2% 7.5% 8.8% 9.3% 11.0% 11.8% 12.8% 13.0% 11.1% 0.9%
Tom Groskopf 13.1% 12.2% 12.9% 12.3% 10.4% 11.9% 8.7% 7.5% 6.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.0%
Jeff Zita 4.7% 4.8% 6.8% 5.2% 6.5% 9.5% 8.9% 11.9% 15.0% 15.4% 10.3% 1.0%
Ryan Clulo 6.8% 8.7% 5.9% 8.5% 11.1% 9.2% 9.6% 9.9% 13.2% 10.4% 6.4% 0.3%
Soren Walljasper 19.6% 16.9% 12.9% 13.5% 11.0% 8.2% 7.9% 5.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 9.2% 11.4% 12.4% 11.2% 11.7% 11.4% 11.4% 8.9% 6.4% 4.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Jacob Henley 2.9% 1.6% 3.3% 2.7% 3.1% 4.5% 5.9% 8.3% 10.7% 17.0% 34.9% 5.1%
Ryan Mabie 2.6% 3.2% 3.1% 4.3% 4.1% 6.7% 6.1% 9.1% 14.2% 18.9% 23.7% 4.0%
Samuel Koenig 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 2.2% 5.2% 88.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.