Race 12A

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mason Wolters 13.0% 11.4% 13.6% 12.5% 13.9% 9.8% 9.7% 7.3% 5.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Tom Groskopf 11.7% 12.9% 13.1% 13.1% 11.6% 10.0% 10.7% 7.8% 5.2% 2.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Noah Rosenthal 8.0% 6.6% 9.0% 8.6% 9.5% 10.3% 11.3% 10.9% 13.3% 7.7% 4.7% 0.1%
Eric Villadsen 4.3% 4.4% 5.3% 8.3% 8.3% 9.6% 9.2% 11.4% 12.0% 16.2% 9.9% 1.1%
Soren Walljasper 17.8% 17.2% 15.4% 11.2% 11.3% 9.6% 6.9% 4.5% 3.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Carolyn Keck 10.3% 10.4% 9.1% 11.2% 11.7% 11.5% 11.3% 9.9% 7.5% 4.5% 2.4% 0.2%
Alison Kent 19.4% 17.1% 15.4% 12.4% 10.0% 9.4% 6.0% 5.6% 2.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Ryan Mabie 2.3% 5.2% 3.2% 4.6% 5.2% 6.2% 8.2% 8.3% 12.1% 17.8% 22.8% 4.1%
Jacob Henley 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% 3.1% 3.6% 4.1% 7.4% 8.9% 10.3% 18.3% 33.8% 4.1%
Jeff Zita 5.6% 5.1% 6.0% 6.7% 6.6% 8.8% 9.3% 11.1% 14.7% 14.7% 10.4% 1.0%
Ryan Clulo 5.5% 7.0% 7.5% 7.9% 8.0% 10.5% 9.8% 13.2% 12.7% 10.1% 6.8% 1.0%
Samuel Koenig 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 1.1% 1.4% 2.5% 4.9% 88.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.