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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.90vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.46+2.45vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.30+1.84vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.86+6.20vs Predicted
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5Hope College1.10+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.18-0.90vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.59-0.39vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.71-1.74vs Predicted
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9Hope College0.28-1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota0.08-2.02vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-0.43-1.87vs Predicted
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13-0.16-4.25vs Predicted
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14University of Chicago-1.89-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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4.45University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Wisconsin1.300.1%1st Place
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10.2Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.29Hope College1.100.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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6.61Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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6.26Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
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7.56Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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7.98University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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9.13Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.75-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 30.4% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Tobelmann | 9.6% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Learon McGinn | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 27.8% | 17.6% |
| DJ Litts | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Herron | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Libby Reeg | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Michael Valverde | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Austin Lee | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 8.0% |
| Nick Lane | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 5.0% |
| Alexander Slajus | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 16.3% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.