Race 6B

mcsa-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Zachary Herron 6.4% 6.5% 8.4% 8.2% 9.2% 9.9% 11.5% 10.1% 10.7% 9.1% 5.8% 3.2% 1.0%
Korbin Kierstead 12.5% 14.8% 12.8% 13.3% 13.0% 12.3% 6.8% 6.7% 3.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 29.3% 22.1% 17.5% 12.3% 8.1% 5.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Isabella Hamilton 9.2% 12.1% 9.7% 12.7% 11.8% 12.2% 10.3% 7.9% 7.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.4%
Michael Valverde 4.3% 3.8% 4.6% 4.3% 6.2% 7.9% 8.6% 10.9% 10.8% 12.4% 13.0% 8.8% 4.4%
Rachel Rantanen 5.9% 5.2% 7.7% 8.2% 9.0% 9.4% 12.5% 9.8% 10.7% 8.6% 8.1% 3.5% 1.4%
DJ Litts 10.3% 10.5% 10.6% 11.3% 9.9% 11.3% 11.0% 9.6% 7.8% 3.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
Libby Reeg 2.9% 6.1% 5.4% 5.3% 7.9% 7.7% 8.6% 11.6% 11.7% 13.9% 9.1% 7.1% 2.7%
Nick Lane 2.3% 3.6% 3.0% 3.6% 5.6% 5.0% 6.4% 8.3% 10.8% 14.0% 15.5% 12.9% 9.0%
James Sitter 13.7% 11.5% 15.2% 14.7% 10.6% 8.3% 8.7% 6.1% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1%
David Millstein 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 2.7% 1.9% 3.4% 4.6% 6.0% 8.0% 11.0% 21.5% 37.1%
Austin Lee 1.4% 1.8% 3.0% 2.7% 3.7% 5.4% 5.8% 7.8% 7.2% 12.2% 16.9% 18.6% 13.5%
Learon McGinn 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 2.3% 2.3% 3.2% 3.4% 5.2% 7.0% 9.1% 12.8% 21.4% 30.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.