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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+1.93vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.15+2.31vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.21+1.15vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.02+2.63vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.62+0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon2.51-2.49vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.69-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound0.03+0.32vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.93-2.23vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound0.36-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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4.31Western Washington University2.150.1%1st Place
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4.15Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.63Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.33Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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5.22University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
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6.77Western Washington University0.930.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 28.6% | 22.1% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 12.4% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter McGrath | 15.0% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Alex Waldron | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 10.7% |
| Ashley Vincent | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Philip Gordon | 18.8% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Michael Trombatore | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 19.9% | 42.8% |
| Philip Bowman | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 11.0% |
| David Eva | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 25.2% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.