Race 8B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlie Kutschenreuter 29.7% 22.8% 17.1% 10.6% 9.6% 4.9% 2.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Korbin Kierstead 14.2% 14.4% 13.7% 12.9% 11.8% 10.4% 7.7% 7.1% 4.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Rachel Rantanen 4.6% 5.3% 8.5% 7.8% 8.0% 10.8% 10.1% 11.7% 10.9% 9.8% 6.5% 5.0% 1.0%
Michael Valverde 2.9% 3.0% 5.1% 5.1% 6.2% 7.7% 8.0% 9.8% 10.2% 13.3% 14.2% 10.2% 4.3%
Isabella Hamilton 10.7% 11.6% 11.8% 11.9% 10.4% 11.5% 10.2% 7.9% 6.6% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Zachary Herron 7.2% 7.5% 6.9% 8.2% 10.5% 9.6% 10.8% 11.5% 9.4% 7.5% 6.7% 3.4% 0.8%
Brian Tobelmann 12.5% 12.2% 12.6% 13.1% 12.5% 8.6% 11.3% 5.3% 6.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Libby Reeg 4.5% 4.6% 5.0% 6.1% 8.9% 6.0% 10.6% 10.3% 12.4% 12.6% 9.7% 6.2% 3.1%
David Millstein 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 2.7% 3.8% 4.4% 7.4% 9.9% 19.1% 42.6%
Nick Lane 2.6% 3.7% 3.2% 3.9% 3.6% 6.8% 7.3% 8.6% 10.7% 12.7% 15.6% 13.0% 8.3%
Learon McGinn 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 2.8% 4.6% 4.4% 5.2% 7.0% 10.3% 13.7% 21.3% 25.0%
Austin Lee 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 4.7% 4.8% 5.3% 6.6% 8.4% 10.9% 17.1% 18.8% 14.3%
DJ Litts 7.7% 10.4% 10.5% 13.4% 8.9% 12.0% 9.5% 10.4% 8.0% 5.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.