Race 10B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlie Kutschenreuter 29.6% 21.0% 18.5% 12.3% 8.7% 4.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Korbin Kierstead 14.1% 13.7% 15.0% 12.6% 13.0% 10.2% 7.8% 7.3% 2.6% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Isabella Hamilton 8.7% 11.0% 12.3% 12.0% 12.6% 12.0% 11.0% 7.9% 6.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Rachel Rantanen 5.5% 5.8% 7.0% 9.1% 10.6% 9.2% 10.0% 11.5% 11.0% 9.1% 7.1% 3.0% 1.1%
James Sitter 13.3% 14.3% 13.0% 11.8% 10.6% 13.3% 9.4% 7.2% 3.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
DJ Litts 10.7% 9.5% 10.9% 13.6% 10.7% 11.7% 9.1% 8.8% 7.2% 4.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Zachary Herron 7.1% 7.7% 8.4% 8.8% 9.2% 9.1% 13.0% 11.2% 10.4% 7.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
Libby Reeg 3.5% 7.0% 3.5% 7.0% 6.9% 8.1% 12.8% 9.2% 12.7% 13.1% 8.7% 5.5% 2.0%
Austin Lee 1.8% 2.2% 3.2% 3.6% 4.5% 4.7% 5.0% 5.8% 12.3% 12.1% 16.3% 15.2% 13.3%
Nick Lane 2.4% 4.2% 3.1% 3.7% 4.4% 7.0% 7.5% 10.4% 11.4% 13.8% 13.2% 11.1% 7.8%
John O'Leary 1.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.9% 3.1% 2.8% 3.7% 6.2% 7.4% 9.9% 15.1% 20.9% 25.8%
Austen Boyce 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 3.4% 4.1% 4.6% 5.8% 7.4% 11.3% 14.1% 20.9% 22.1%
Learon McGinn 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 1.5% 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 7.2% 7.3% 9.8% 14.6% 19.5% 26.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.