Race 12B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlie Kutschenreuter 28.8% 22.2% 16.8% 12.1% 9.2% 5.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Korbin Kierstead 13.0% 13.8% 13.8% 14.6% 12.3% 10.7% 7.2% 6.3% 4.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
DJ Litts 8.4% 10.1% 11.2% 10.6% 10.0% 12.1% 11.4% 10.3% 5.8% 5.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.3%
Brian Tobelmann 12.0% 11.0% 11.6% 13.7% 10.1% 11.5% 9.5% 7.7% 7.2% 3.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.4%
Libby Reeg 5.0% 4.5% 6.0% 6.3% 6.7% 9.1% 6.9% 11.4% 10.8% 10.6% 11.5% 7.3% 3.9%
Rachel Rantanen 5.8% 6.5% 7.4% 8.0% 9.0% 9.5% 11.7% 9.7% 10.3% 8.2% 7.6% 4.4% 1.9%
Michael Valverde 4.6% 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 6.1% 5.8% 7.4% 9.4% 11.7% 12.6% 12.1% 10.7% 5.9%
Zachary Herron 5.9% 9.2% 6.2% 7.8% 8.8% 10.7% 13.0% 9.6% 10.0% 8.2% 6.1% 3.5% 1.0%
Isabella Hamilton 10.1% 9.8% 13.2% 10.7% 12.0% 9.7% 8.9% 8.6% 7.6% 5.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Nick Lane 2.7% 4.1% 2.8% 3.1% 5.2% 5.5% 7.5% 8.4% 11.2% 10.6% 15.3% 12.9% 10.7%
Austen Boyce 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 2.6% 4.0% 3.6% 4.1% 6.0% 6.1% 10.2% 13.9% 19.7% 25.9%
Blake Utz 1.3% 2.5% 4.0% 2.5% 4.8% 4.2% 6.3% 6.0% 8.1% 12.5% 13.8% 19.3% 14.7%
Learon McGinn 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 2.3% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 5.1% 6.3% 10.5% 10.6% 19.0% 35.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.