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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.44vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+6.64vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+6.78vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+4.12vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+3.20vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42+0.74vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.38+4.03vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.60+2.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.22vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-2.23vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-0.74vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.73-1.99vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.97vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-7.27vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-0.75vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-2.36vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.87vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.33-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.78Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.2Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.74Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.03George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.02College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.77Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.26Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.01University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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8.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.25Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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13.64Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.99Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| India Johnstone | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.3% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 32.5% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 23.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.