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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+5.98vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+6.51vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.73vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.19vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.33+6.11vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+2.20vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33+4.26vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.73+1.48vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.38+2.06vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.60+0.41vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-2.37vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.71+1.84vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-6.12vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.74-4.74vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-4.93vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.96vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.62vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-10.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.51Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.26Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.48University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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11.06George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.41College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.84Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.88Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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14.38Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| India Johnstone | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 18.5% | 24.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 16.1% | 33.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.