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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+7.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+6.42vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.35vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+4.13vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+1.72vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+5.08vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.74+2.55vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21-0.49vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-2.10vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61+0.39vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.33+0.38vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+2.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.95vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.02vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.73-5.44vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.60-5.79vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.86vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.71-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.42Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.08George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.55Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.51Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.39Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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11.38Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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14.55Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.56University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.21College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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10.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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13.41Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| India Johnstone | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 37.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.