Race 8A

north-north

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Glen Stellmacher 29.6% 21.3% 16.0% 12.6% 10.2% 5.2% 3.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.2%
Philip Gordon 18.3% 18.7% 16.6% 14.7% 12.0% 9.7% 5.4% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Alex Waldron 3.8% 4.6% 5.9% 6.4% 7.5% 11.0% 14.0% 18.3% 18.0% 10.5%
Alyce Flanagan 6.7% 9.1% 10.5% 13.5% 12.4% 14.6% 14.6% 10.6% 5.9% 2.1%
Peter McGrath 14.3% 14.1% 15.6% 14.6% 13.7% 11.8% 8.0% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
Michael Trombatore 2.0% 1.9% 2.0% 3.5% 3.9% 4.7% 8.0% 10.8% 20.0% 43.2%
Patrick Taylor 11.8% 14.3% 14.9% 13.6% 16.2% 11.4% 10.4% 4.2% 2.5% 0.7%
Ashley Vincent 7.7% 9.6% 10.3% 10.3% 12.3% 14.3% 12.9% 12.0% 7.1% 3.5%
Philip Bowman 3.7% 4.2% 5.0% 7.0% 7.5% 10.8% 14.2% 17.9% 19.6% 10.1%
David Eva 2.1% 2.2% 3.2% 3.8% 4.3% 6.5% 9.2% 15.8% 24.0% 28.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.