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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+5.09vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.27+2.73vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.21+5.05vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+3.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.57-0.60vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.54+1.71vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.73+2.43vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.08+4.54vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.26-1.67vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-4.10vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.16-5.61vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.72-0.39vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-0.76vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.13-1.08vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.55-0.84vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.85-1.09vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.78-2.37vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.27-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1310.7%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University2.2714.3%1st Place
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8.05Cornell University1.215.5%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University1.445.5%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Naval Academy2.5717.2%1st Place
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7.71Fordham University1.546.0%1st Place
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9.43Christopher Newport University0.733.2%1st Place
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12.54Webb Institute-0.081.7%1st Place
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7.33Old Dominion University1.266.6%1st Place
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5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0510.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Pennsylvania2.1610.6%1st Place
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11.61Hampton University0.722.1%1st Place
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12.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.5%1st Place
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12.92SUNY Maritime College-0.131.4%1st Place
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14.16Washington College-0.550.7%1st Place
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14.91Drexel University-0.850.9%1st Place
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14.63University of Virginia-0.780.6%1st Place
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11.04Princeton University0.271.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 14.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 17.2% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Robert Finora | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Luke Barker | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 18.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 28.1% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 25.6% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.