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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.46vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+5.79vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60+7.41vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.13vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+4.53vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.74+3.60vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33+4.18vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-1.33vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-2.11vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.53vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.62vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-3.43vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.61-3.05vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.34vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-6.61vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.38-4.94vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.64vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.71-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.41College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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8.13Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.53University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.18Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.95Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.06George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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14.36Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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13.44Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| India Johnstone | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 34.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.