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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+6.73vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.60+8.46vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+6.80vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+4.36vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+3.17vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+2.25vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73+2.57vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.50+6.11vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.97vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-4.56vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.66vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-4.63vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.61-3.06vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-7.51vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.33-3.81vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.73vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.71-3.29vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.38-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.46College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.17Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.57University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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14.11Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.49Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.19Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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13.71Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.83George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 31.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.0% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 16.5% | 25.0% |
| India Johnstone | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.