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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+8.67vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+7.66vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.34vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+4.09vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+3.35vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.60+4.08vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-0.08vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.61+1.93vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-2.45vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58+0.37vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.43vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.33-0.47vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-5.60vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-6.17vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.89vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-1.76vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.97vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.71-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.66Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.34University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.09Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.08College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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6.92Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.93Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.55Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.37George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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11.53Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.83Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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14.24Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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13.32Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 31.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.