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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+9.38vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+5.80vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+6.80vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.28vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+1.72vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33+4.25vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.94vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.77vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.55vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.60-0.68vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-3.17vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.58-2.94vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-6.01vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.80vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-2.35vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.73-7.21vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.38Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.0Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.23Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.32College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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13.65Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.79University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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14.21Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 7.2% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 24.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.