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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.40vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+6.38vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+6.76vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.01vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+5.05vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+0.93vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21+0.42vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.78vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-2.49vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61+0.27vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-2.45vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.60-1.58vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.99vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.71-0.79vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.73-5.55vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.49vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.65vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.33-7.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.76Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.01Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.05George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.93Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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6.51Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.42College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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13.21Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.45University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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14.35Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.97Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 13.5% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 21.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 33.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.