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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.93+5.04vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon2.51+1.01vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.15+0.72vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.02+1.99vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.21-1.46vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.69-1.45vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.62-3.28vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound0.03-1.20vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.30-1.63vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound0.36-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Western Washington University0.930.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Oregon2.510.3%1st Place
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3.72Western Washington University2.150.2%1st Place
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5.99Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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3.54Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.55University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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4.72Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Washington-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Bowman | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 5.5% |
| Philip Gordon | 26.9% | 20.7% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 16.8% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alex Waldron | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 5.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 18.7% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Vincent | 8.3% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Michael Trombatore | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 24.7% | 26.4% |
| Jimi Miller | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 20.0% | 43.8% |
| David Eva | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.