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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.57+3.63vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+4.31vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.16+2.84vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.27+1.15vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+1.31vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.21+2.69vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+3.71vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.44+0.29vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.54-0.89vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.22-1.65vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.30-3.66vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.27-0.70vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.73-3.03vs Predicted
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14Washington College-0.55+0.44vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.72-2.84vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.85-0.84vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.13-3.60vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.78-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63U. S. Naval Academy2.5716.2%1st Place
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6.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.0%1st Place
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5.84University of Pennsylvania2.1611.6%1st Place
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5.15Georgetown University2.2713.3%1st Place
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6.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.4%1st Place
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8.69Cornell University1.214.6%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.643.8%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University1.445.0%1st Place
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8.11Fordham University1.545.2%1st Place
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8.35Old Dominion University1.224.5%1st Place
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7.34Webb Institute1.306.2%1st Place
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11.3Princeton University0.272.3%1st Place
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9.97Christopher Newport University0.734.2%1st Place
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14.44Washington College-0.550.4%1st Place
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12.16Hampton University0.722.1%1st Place
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15.16Drexel University-0.851.2%1st Place
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13.4SUNY Maritime College-0.131.1%1st Place
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14.84University of Virginia-0.780.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 16.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Marsh | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 20.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Lucas Randle | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 33.8% |
| Luke Barker | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 10.1% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 21.0% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.