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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.15vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+6.56vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.67vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.56vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+4.98vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73+2.42vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.60+1.90vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.96vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-1.57vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.95vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.49vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-2.73vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-2.84vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-0.83vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.74-6.48vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.61-6.88vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.71-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.98George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.42University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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9.9College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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8.04Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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11.16Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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14.17Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.52Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.12Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.33Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.1% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 31.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.