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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+6.74vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+4.80vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+5.57vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.14vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+4.95vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.73+3.51vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61+2.97vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+0.05vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-2.20vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+4.36vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.74-1.40vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-3.52vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.60-3.12vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-2.79vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.71-1.53vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.48vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.94vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.33-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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9.95George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.51University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.97Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.36Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.48Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.88College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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11.21Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.47Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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10.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 33.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 22.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.