← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.42+5.89vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.99+6.63vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.21+4.65vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College3.06+3.98vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.35+1.84vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.87vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.61+2.94vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.34vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.58+1.07vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.73-0.25vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.23vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.23-0.10vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University2.74-3.70vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College1.50-0.10vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University1.71-1.55vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston2.60-5.93vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-7.00vs Predicted
-
18Yale University3.05-10.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.89Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.63University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
7.65Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
7.98Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
6.84Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
5.13University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
-
9.94Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
-
10.07George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
-
9.75University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
11.23U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
11.9Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
9.3Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
-
13.9Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
13.45Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
10.07College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
-
10.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
7.91Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 29.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 22.5% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.