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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+7.28vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.72vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+5.13vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.81vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+1.23vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+2.35vs Predicted
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72.44+2.15vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.24+1.92vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74+2.93vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.51-0.85vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-3.55vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-4.55vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.45-4.01vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15-0.26vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-7.43vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.87-4.46vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71-1.67vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.36-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.13Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.35Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.152.440.0%1st Place
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9.92University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.93Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.15George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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13.74Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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7.57Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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15.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
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13.24Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.8% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Mary Paz | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Amina Brown | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Petno | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 19.3% | 20.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Erin Condon | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 43.2% |
| Samara Leith | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.