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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.24+9.23vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.51+7.14vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+5.13vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+2.11vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.91vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+0.59vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91-0.77vs Predicted
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92.44+0.15vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.73-1.76vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.74+1.09vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.67-3.43vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.20-6.87vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15-0.25vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-5.89vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71-0.71vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.36-3.51vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.87-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.14George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.13Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.152.440.0%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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12.09Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.57Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.13Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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13.75Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.11Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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15.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
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13.49Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Knoles | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Paz | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 7.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| Emily Petno | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Erin Condon | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 42.1% |
| Samara Leith | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 17.6% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.