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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+6.55vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+4.43vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+6.16vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.62vs Predicted
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52.44+4.11vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.73+2.04vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.51+1.89vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45+1.06vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-1.16vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.66vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-2.60vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.15+2.20vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.24-3.14vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.84-6.60vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71+0.19vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.36-2.51vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.74-4.88vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.87-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.112.440.1%1st Place
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8.04College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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8.89George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.06Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.84Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.4Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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14.2Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.86University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.4Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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15.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
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13.49Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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12.12Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mary Paz | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Emily Petno | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Amina Brown | 9.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 18.3% | 24.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Erin Condon | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 18.7% | 38.3% |
| Samara Leith | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 17.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 6.9% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.