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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.44+8.43vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+5.29vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+3.22vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+2.87vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+1.64vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+2.18vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51+0.78vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.40vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.73-1.70vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.74+1.14vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24-1.71vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.15+0.84vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71+0.97vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.67-6.80vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-6.95vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.87-5.35vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.36-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.432.440.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.87Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.78George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.3College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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12.14Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.29University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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13.84Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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14.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
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8.2Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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13.16Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Paz | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Amina Brown | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Petno | 5.5% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.0% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 8.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 18.9% | 20.7% |
| Erin Condon | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 39.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Samara Leith | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.