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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+4.83vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+7.41vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+5.46vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+2.17vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.24+4.84vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+1.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+0.27vs Predicted
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82.44+1.16vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.08vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-2.15vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-2.96vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.51-2.73vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.73-5.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.87-2.82vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.74-3.07vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-1.85vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71-1.72vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.36-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.41Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.46Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.84University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.162.440.0%1st Place
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8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.85Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.04Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.27George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.89College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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11.93Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.15Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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15.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
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13.21Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Amina Brown | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Paz | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 6.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 23.6% |
| Erin Condon | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 41.1% |
| Samara Leith | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.