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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.27+4.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.57+2.56vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.44+5.24vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.46vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.21+3.68vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.22+2.26vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.54+1.12vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.72+4.06vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.16-3.22vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+0.58vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.73-0.85vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.30-4.80vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.27-1.55vs Predicted
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14Washington College-0.55+0.40vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-8.62vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.13-2.73vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.78-2.18vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-0.85-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Georgetown University2.2713.2%1st Place
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4.56U. S. Naval Academy2.5717.1%1st Place
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8.24George Washington University1.445.4%1st Place
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6.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.2%1st Place
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8.68Cornell University1.214.3%1st Place
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8.26Old Dominion University1.225.1%1st Place
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8.12Fordham University1.545.9%1st Place
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12.06Hampton University0.721.4%1st Place
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5.78University of Pennsylvania2.1611.8%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.5%1st Place
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10.15Christopher Newport University0.733.1%1st Place
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7.2Webb Institute1.307.1%1st Place
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11.45Princeton University0.272.5%1st Place
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14.4Washington College-0.550.4%1st Place
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6.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.8%1st Place
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13.27SUNY Maritime College-0.131.2%1st Place
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14.82University of Virginia-0.780.7%1st Place
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15.38Drexel University-0.850.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Barnard | 13.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 17.1% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Pierce Brindley | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 19.8% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 10.8% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 25.3% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 20.5% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.