Race 10A

north-north

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Philip Gordon 28.1% 20.7% 15.3% 13.9% 10.2% 5.7% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Patrick Taylor 16.1% 18.6% 16.1% 14.7% 13.4% 10.4% 5.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Alex Waldron 5.5% 5.6% 9.2% 6.3% 9.1% 13.1% 18.4% 16.5% 11.8% 4.5%
Peter McGrath 17.8% 19.3% 16.9% 17.0% 12.3% 8.3% 4.7% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Ashley Vincent 10.8% 10.1% 12.7% 14.5% 15.2% 13.5% 11.0% 7.2% 4.0% 1.0%
Philip Bowman 5.9% 6.2% 6.4% 8.5% 9.2% 14.1% 15.7% 13.9% 14.9% 5.2%
Alyce Flanagan 9.6% 12.3% 13.4% 14.1% 16.8% 12.4% 10.2% 7.7% 2.4% 1.1%
David Eva 2.9% 3.1% 5.3% 4.2% 6.3% 10.5% 12.3% 18.8% 19.4% 17.2%
Jimi Miller 1.4% 2.0% 1.5% 2.5% 3.8% 4.7% 7.9% 12.3% 22.3% 41.6%
Michael Trombatore 1.9% 2.1% 3.2% 4.3% 3.7% 7.3% 9.6% 15.3% 23.4% 29.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.