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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.74+11.13vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+5.78vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+5.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+2.15vs Predicted
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52.44+4.10vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.73+2.01vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+2.13vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91-0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-1.95vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.51-0.85vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-2.60vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-2.64vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-7.48vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15-0.28vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.21-4.92vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71-0.74vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.87-5.32vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.36-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.13Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.78Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.15Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.12.440.1%1st Place
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8.01College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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9.13Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.15George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.4Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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13.72Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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10.08University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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15.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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13.15Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Mary Paz | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emily Petno | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 20.9% |
| Madison Gates | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Erin Condon | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 42.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Samara Leith | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.