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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+7.10vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.17vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+5.41vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+3.24vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+0.59vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.73+2.02vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20-0.81vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51+0.80vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74+2.95vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.87+1.73vs Predicted
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112.44-1.68vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.45-2.52vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.84-5.56vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15-0.28vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.36-1.72vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.21-5.81vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.96-9.75vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.41Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.8George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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11.95Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.73U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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9.322.440.1%1st Place
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9.48Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.72Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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13.28Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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10.19University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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15.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 6.4% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
| Mary Paz | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Emily Petno | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 19.9% |
| Samara Leith | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 16.2% |
| Madison Gates | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Amina Brown | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Erin Condon | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.