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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+6.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+5.00vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+4.61vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.48vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.73+2.56vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.87+5.14vs Predicted
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72.44+1.84vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45+0.58vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74+2.60vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-3.26vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.67-2.89vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-4.69vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.20-6.86vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.36-1.21vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.15-1.74vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-7.32vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.61Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.56College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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8.842.440.1%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.6Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.11George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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12.79Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.26Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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14.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Mary Paz | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Emily Petno | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 7.6% |
| Amina Brown | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samara Leith | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 16.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 22.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Erin Condon | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 16.8% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.