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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.37vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.67+5.82vs Predicted
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32.44+5.76vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+4.11vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.15+8.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+1.26vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.73+0.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.87+2.75vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-1.97vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-4.61vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.36+1.72vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.45-3.24vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.74-1.40vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71+0.49vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-7.65vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.20-9.97vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.76-9.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.82Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.762.440.1%1st Place
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8.11George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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13.12Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.71College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.72Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.6Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
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7.35Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Mary Paz | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 19.5% | 20.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Amina Brown | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samara Leith | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 16.5% |
| Emily Petno | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
| Erin Condon | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 20.1% | 40.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.