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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+5.91vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+6.68vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+4.32vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+3.98vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+1.71vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.77vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+0.62vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.87+2.70vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.37vs Predicted
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102.44-1.27vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-2.92vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.73-4.29vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.74-1.47vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71+0.51vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.20-8.97vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-2.63vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.36-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.98George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.732.440.0%1st Place
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8.08Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.71College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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11.53Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
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6.03Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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13.37Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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12.72Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emily Petno | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Amina Brown | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mary Robertson | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mary Paz | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
| Erin Condon | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 18.7% | 41.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 21.7% |
| Samara Leith | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.