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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+6.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+6.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+4.00vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.67vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.36+7.49vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.73+1.89vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-1.61vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.67-0.24vs Predicted
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92.44+0.08vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.74+1.36vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-2.87vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.76-4.36vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.91vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71+0.51vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.15-1.71vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.20-9.95vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.96-10.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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12.49Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.89College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.76George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.082.440.0%1st Place
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11.36Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.13Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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14.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
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13.29Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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6.05Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Petno | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Samara Leith | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 14.3% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Mary Paz | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 7.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 6.4% |
| Erin Condon | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 18.2% | 42.6% |
| Sophie Salomon | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 22.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.