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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+4.82vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+5.18vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67+4.86vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+3.14vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+6.24vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.81vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+1.73vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-4.65vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-3.20vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.73-4.34vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.92vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.36-1.21vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.15-1.73vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71-1.52vs Predicted
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172.44-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.18Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.86George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.24Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.8Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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12.79Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.27Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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14.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
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8.962.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Emily Petno | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Samara Leith | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 17.8% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 21.4% |
| Erin Condon | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 40.1% |
| Mary Paz | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.