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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.87+9.67vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74+9.36vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67+4.92vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+3.10vs Predicted
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52.44+3.69vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+2.10vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+0.59vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.15+5.03vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.18vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.45-1.35vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-3.48vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-5.94vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-6.05vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.73-6.21vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-9.53vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.36-3.23vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.67U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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11.36Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.92George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.692.440.1%1st Place
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8.1Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.59Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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13.03Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.52Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.06Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.79College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.77Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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14.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Robertson | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 4.6% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 7.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Mary Paz | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 22.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Emily Petno | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Amina Brown | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samara Leith | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 14.8% |
| Erin Condon | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.